000 ABPZ20 KNHC 191733 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT SUN SEP 19 2010 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...EXTENDS SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE MORNING. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BERG