000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161133
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU SEP 16 2010

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW
PRESSURE AREA.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED
TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...
OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN