000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161132
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON AUG 16 2010

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE
AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY DUE TO UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
AND THE EXPECTED PASSAGE OF THE LOW OVER COOLER WATERS IN THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS
NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH