000 ABPZ20 KNHC 091134 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT MON AUG 9 2010 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 385 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER EXTENDS FROM SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO WESTWARD FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. SHOWER ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED...AND ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS BROAD DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BROWN