000 ABPZ20 KNHC 050533 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT WED AUG 4 2010 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THIS DISTURBANCE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER PASCH