000
ABPZ20 KNHC 041153
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED AUG 4 2010

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING WITH A BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
ABOUT 10 MPH...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...
OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

A WESTWARD-MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING A SMALL AREA OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND. THERE
IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART