000
ABPZ20 KNHC 312337
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT JUL 31 2010

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN MINIMAL IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME LESS
CONDUCIVE...AND DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY WESTWARD.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF
SOCORRO ISLAND OR ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE BEFORE IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER COLDER SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/LANDSEA