000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131137 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT TUE JUL 13 2010 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...REMAINS DISORGANIZED. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/BROWN