000 ABPZ20 KNHC 181850 TWOEP SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1150 AM PDT FRI JUN 18 2010 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLAS LOCATED ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...AND RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA SUGGESTS A SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS FORMED. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A MODERATE CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN