000
ABPZ20 KNHC 160530
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE JUN 15 2010

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A NEARLY STATIONARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.  THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER
ACTIVITY IS POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME.  HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS REMAIN MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT...AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM FROM THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES LITTLE
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...
OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED IN THE VICINITY OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT REMAINS NEARLY
STATIONARY. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BEVEN