000
ABPZ20 KNHC 282333
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI MAY 28 2010

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

ALTHOUGH SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT THE SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED
WITH THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED A LITTLE MORE THAN A
HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC REMAINS ORGANIZED...
THERE ARE NO EVIDENCES OF A WELL DEFINED CENTER AT THIS TIME.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT... AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AT ANY TIME
LATER TONIGHT OR SATURDAY AS IT DRIFTS NORTHEASTWARD. THERE IS A
HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HEAVY SQUALLS ARE ALREADY
APPROACHING THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO AND GUATEMALA AND THE AREA
OF HEAVY RAINS EXTENDS AS FAR EAST AS EL SALVADOR.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO CONTINUE AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES IN THESE AREAS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/CANGIALOSI