000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151137
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT MAY 15 2010

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TODAY MARKS THE FIRST DAY OF THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE
SEASON...WHICH WILL RUN UNTIL NOVEMBER 30.  LONG-TERM AVERAGES
HURRICANES ARE 15...9...AND 4...RESPECTIVELY.

THE LIST OF NAMES FOR 2010 IS AS FOLLOWS:

NAME           PRONUNCIATION    NAME            PRONUNCIATION
-------------------------------------------------------------
AGATHA                          MADELINE
BLAS                            NEWTON
CELIA                           ORLENE
DARBY                           PAINE
ESTELLE                         ROSLYN
FRANK                           SEYMOUR
GEORGETTE                       TINA
HOWARD                          VIRGIL
ISIS                            WINIFRED
JAVIER                          XAVIER
KAY                             YOLANDA         YO LAHN- DA
LESTER                          ZEKE

THIS PRODUCT...THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...BRIEFLY DESCRIBES
SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND THEIR POTENTIAL FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  BEGINNING THIS
YEAR...THE OUTLOOK WILL INCLUDE A QUANTITATIVE FORECAST OF THE
PROBABILITY OF GENESIS FOR EACH DISTURBANCE.  THE ISSUANCE TIMES OF
THIS PRODUCT ARE 5 AM...11 AM...5 PM...AND 11 PM PDT. AFTER THE
CHANGE TO STANDARD TIME IN NOVEMBER...THE ISSUANCE TIMES ARE 4
AM...10 AM...4 PM...AND 10 PM EST.

PRIOR TO 2009...THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
COULD BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO DESCRIBE SIGNIFICANT DISTURBANCES
IN BETWEEN ISSUANCES OF THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK.  THE
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT WAS DISCONTINUED IN 2009 AND
IS NO LONGER ISSUED.  INSTEAD...A SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER
OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED TO PROVIDE UPDATES...AS NECESSARY...IN
BETWEEN THE REGULARLY SCHEDULED ISSUANCES OF THE TROPICAL WEATHER
OUTLOOK. SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED UNDER
THE SAME WMO AND AWIPS HEADERS AS THE REGULAR TROPICAL WEATHER
OUTLOOKS.

A STANDARD PACKAGE OF PRODUCTS...CONSISTING OF THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...THE FORECAST/ADVISORY...THE CYCLONE
DISCUSSION... AND A WIND SPEED PROBABILITY PRODUCT...IS ISSUED
EVERY SIX HOURS FOR ALL ONGOING TROPICAL CYCLONES.  IN
ADDITION...A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME
TO ADVISE OF SIGNIFICANT UNEXPECTED CHANGES OR TO MODIFY WATCHES
OR WARNINGS.

THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE IS A BRIEF STATEMENT TO INFORM OF
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE OR TO POST OR CANCEL
WATCHES OR WARNINGS.  IT IS USED IN LIEU OF OR TO PRECEDE THE
ISSUANCE OF A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE.  TROPICAL CYCLONE
UPDATES...WHICH CAN BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME...CAN BE FOUND UNDER
WMO HEADER WTPZ61-65 KNHC...AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUEP1-5.

ALL NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TEXT AND GRAPHICAL PRODUCTS ARE
AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV

$$
FORECASTER STEWART