000
ABPZ20 KNHC 051751
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PST THU NOV 5 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A WELL-DEFINED LOW IS LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF THE
MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER. ALTHOUGH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN
DISORGANIZED...THERE IS A BRIEF WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME LESS
CONDUCIVE.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
DRIFTS TO THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE