000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151731
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS.  IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...
GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BEVEN