000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141750
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED OCT 14 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE REMNANT LOW ASSOCIATED WITH PATRICIA LOCATED ABOUT 75 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO IS PRODUCING A SMALL AREA OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. REGENERATION IS NOT EXPECTED...AND THERE
IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF PATRICIA PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SOUTHEASTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES.
CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/AVILA