000 ABPZ20 KNHC 132333 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT TUE OCT 13 2009 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF COSTA RICA IS PRODUCING SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE