000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131740
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE OCT 13 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED IN ASSOCIATION WITH
A TROPICAL WAVE A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF COSTA RICA. 
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BEVEN