000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111135 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT SUN OCT 11 2009 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 325 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IN ITS ORGANIZATION. HOWEVER...A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL FORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN