000
ABPZ20 KNHC 100532
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI OCT 9 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO
MEXICO ARE DISORGANIZED.  HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OR DRIFTS
NORTHWESTWARD. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BEVEN