000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011138
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU OCT 1 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE
AREA LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS.  THIS
SYSTEM IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND HAS THE POTENTIAL 
TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT BEFORE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN A
DAY OR SO.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN