000 ABPZ20 KNHC 010527 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT WED SEP 30 2009 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE LESS ORGANIZED BUT STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER AVILA