000
ABPZ20 KNHC 302330
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED SEP 30 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAVE DECREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. 
HOWEVER...IT IS STILL POSSIBLE THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...
GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE