000
ABPZ20 KNHC 301826
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED SEP 30 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.
ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT IN A DAY OR SO...ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN ORGANIZATION COULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE....GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BROWN