000
ABPZ20 KNHC 301149
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED SEP 30 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE
YESTERDAY.  CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH.  THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE....30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN