000
ABPZ20 KNHC 260534
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI SEP 25 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA ARE LOCATED ABOUT 1025
MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
ALTHOUGH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR REGENERATION. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS
THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF
NORA...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02
KWBC. 

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MANZANILLO MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE 
WEST-NORTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN
30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BRENNAN