000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221741
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE SEP 22 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES THE CIRCULATION IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED...
BUT THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS NOT YET ORGANIZED ENOUGH FOR
THE SYSTEM TO BE CONSIDERED A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.  CONDITIONS
REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH.  THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN
50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/BEVEN