000
ABPZ20 KNHC 202348
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN SEP 20 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A
BROAD SURFACE LOW IS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS
AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BROWN