000 ABPZ20 KNHC 200519 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT SAT SEP 19 2009 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAD INCREASED EARLIER THIS EVENING BUT HAS SINCE DIMINISHED. THERE IS STILL SOME OPPORTUNITY FOR DEVELOPMENT BEFORE THE SYSTEM REACHES COOLER WATERS ON SUNDAY. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN