000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151740
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE SEP 15 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA SHOWS SOME SIGNS 
OF ORGANIZATION.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD FORM BEFORE THE SYSTEM
REACHES COOLER WATER IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.  THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER BROWN