000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141746
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON SEP 14 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  THE CIRCULATION DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE
WELL-DEFINED AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW AS IT MOVES GENERALLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER BROWN