000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141140
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON SEP 14 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141140
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON SEP 14 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER BROWN