000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281134
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI AUG 28 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF
ACAPULCO MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WEST
TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE