000
ABPZ20 KNHC 280533
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT THU AUG 27 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF
DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
ACAPULCO MEXICO.  EVEN THOUGH THERE HAS BEEN NO RECENT CHANGE IN
ORGANIZATION...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WEST
TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST
FEW HOURS. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN