000
ABPZ20 KNHC 272351
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU AUG 27 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE
FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WEST TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THERE
IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. 
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

THE REMNANT LOW OF IGNACIO IS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH. 
THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER COLD WATERS...AND REGENERATION
INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOT EXPECTED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER BERG