000
ABPZ20 KNHC 270532
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING
TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 985 MILES WEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH
OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO
15 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE
PAST SEVERAL HOURS BUT CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED IN
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING
TROPICAL WAVE.  THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME AND
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT... OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER AVILA