000
ABPZ20 KNHC 262329
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED AUG 26 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 935 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH
OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15
MPH.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED JUST
TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE.  THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT
AT THIS TIME AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT... OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER PASCH