000
ABPZ20 KNHC 260530
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE AUG 25 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 765 MILES WEST SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.

A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
NEAR 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OVER CENTRAL AMERICA
HAS MOVED WESTWARD ABOUT 15 MPH AND IS NOW CENTERED JUST SOUTH OF
EL SALVADOR. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE
SLOW TO OCCUR TO DUE ITS PROXIMITY TO LAND.  THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER AVILA