000
ABPZ20 KNHC 240542
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN AUG 23 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES WEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAVE
CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION THIS EVENING.  HOWEVER...UPPER LEVEL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BROWN