000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221746
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT AUG 22 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 1275 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII.

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION THIS MORNING.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAVE INCREASED
THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN
30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTPZ31 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP1.  
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/AVILA