000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221154
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT AUG 22 2009

CORRECTED TO INDICATE THAT THIS PRODUCT IS NOT A SPECIAL TROPICAL
WEATHER OUTLOOK

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. EVEN THOUGH
THIS SYSTEM HAS A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CIRCULATION...SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS NOT BEEN PERSISTENT.  HOWEVER...ANY
FURTHER INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION COULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE ABOUT 1070 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA HAS DIMINISHED. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO
MEXICO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15
MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/AVILA