000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281732
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE JUL 28 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE SHOWER ACTIVITY EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES HAS BECOME LESS
ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD
THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY... SHOULD BE SLOW.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

A BROAD AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT
1500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS
MOVING WESTWARD AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING
LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN
30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA