000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281135
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE JUL 28 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH AND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
MANZANILLO MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.  THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. 
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO
OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.  THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA