000
ABPZ20 KNHC 280522
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON JUL 27 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH AND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO
MEXICO REMAIN POORLY-ORGANIZED.  DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE
SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND
10 TO 15 MPH.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN
ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG