000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121752 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT SUN JUL 12 2009 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE CARLOS...LOCATED ABOUT 1135 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/LANDSEA