000
ABPZ20 KNHC 111732
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT JUL 11 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM CARLOS...CENTERED ABOUT 970 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM IS
CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA