000
ABPZ20 KNHC 050521
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT JUL 4 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO
MEXICO HAS DIMINISHED SOMEWHAT THIS EVENING.  HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10
MPH.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG