000 ABPZ20 KNHC 042337 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT SAT JUL 4 2009 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...ALTHOUGH THE ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED AND NOT CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BERG