000
ABPZ20 KNHC 202329
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT JUN 20 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.  CONDITIONS
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES
SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.  THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN
50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS SYSTEM COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND INTERESTS IN THIS REGION
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...
IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN
30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN