000
ABPZ20 KNHC 172347
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED JUN 17 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAVE BECOME A
LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON.  A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD.  THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN
50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS MAY
SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.  SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN