000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171733 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT WED JUN 17 2009 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION BUT SATELLITE MICROWAVE DATA INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT YET WELL-DEFINED. THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH